Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-27 0.069484 0.076946 0.085131 0.094818 0.106031 0.118671 0.134099
2024-11-03 0.058389 0.068525 0.080556 0.096076 0.115847 0.140579 0.174499
2024-11-10 0.050892 0.062440 0.077019 0.097185 0.125038 0.163241 0.221666
2024-11-17 0.044980 0.057124 0.073219 0.096781 0.131617 0.183409 0.270974
2024-11-24 0.040995 0.053613 0.071050 0.097886 0.140099 0.207816 0.334237
2024-12-01 0.037859 0.050767 0.069262 0.099013 0.148516 0.233802 0.409314
2024-12-08 0.035226 0.048270 0.067559 0.099833 0.156360 0.260513 0.496442
2024-12-15 0.032804 0.045788 0.065516 0.099681 0.162328 0.285122 0.590156
2024-12-22 0.030494 0.043229 0.063028 0.098348 0.165768 0.305485 0.683940
2024-12-29 0.029141 0.042008 0.062518 0.100320 0.175813 0.342650 0.844299
2025-01-05 0.027304 0.039851 0.060226 0.098718 0.178309 0.363360 0.969817
2025-01-12 0.026115 0.038638 0.059394 0.099701 0.186397 0.400223 1.178236
2025-01-19 0.024730 0.037017 0.057745 0.098974 0.190811 0.429803 1.390454
2025-01-26 0.023781 0.036056 0.057172 0.100321 0.200341 0.477493 1.736790
2025-02-02 0.022891 0.035125 0.056562 0.101501 0.209776 0.529165 2.180645
2025-02-09 0.021869 0.033888 0.055273 0.101076 0.215114 0.570371 2.640125
2025-02-16 0.021132 0.033101 0.054755 0.102248 0.224948 0.632074 3.377963
2025-02-23 0.020455 0.032371 0.054277 0.103443 0.235176 0.701120 4.384818
2025-03-02 0.019792 0.031621 0.053692 0.104312 0.244735 0.773568 5.717700
2025-03-09 0.019069 0.030715 0.052723 0.104152 0.251239 0.837419 7.286627
2025-03-16 0.018274 0.029627 0.051305 0.102738 0.253588 0.884155 8.920726
2025-03-23 0.017873 0.029252 0.051309 0.104829 0.267798 1.000692 12.938388
2025-03-30 0.017148 0.028222 0.049879 0.103131 0.268986 1.049311 16.050129